FB: JFL Draft looms less than 48 hours away


We are now less than 48 hours away from the World of Noise standing up from his GM station, walking over to the podium donning his yet-to-be-announced costume and drafting Jason Avant.

I can hardly wait.

And even though, the United States has its eye on a potential hurricane once again — same letter, too — we don’t have to worry because it’s heading toward Tampa Bay and not Allentown. Huge difference. Irene wanted to hang out in the Northeast, while Isaac is a fan of the Caribbean.

I’m sure we’d all rather be in a calm Caribbean this weekend, but instead, we’ll be drafting the teams that will either lead us to glory or cause us massive frustration.

For some, the frustration is already setting in.

Fear and Loathing has watched his keeper QB Michael Vick drop back to throw nine passes all preseason. On the fifth drop-back of the first game, he injured his thumb. On the fourth drop-back of the second game, he bruised his ribs. Now, Andy Reid says Vick will sit the rest of the preseason, so a rather cold QB will be taking the field on Sept. 9 when the Eagles open up against the Browns.

“This will be a rebuilding year,” Fear’s GM said in a text message.

It may be.

And with the No. 6 pick in the draft, Fear is in a good position to do so.

But if Fear feels he’s in need of a rebuild, I have no idea how to coin a term for what the Noise needs to do. He made things 200 times better with an offseason trade to acquire Matt Ryan at quarterback, but with his other keeper being Marques Colston, who should truly be a third or fourth-round pick at best, the Noise cherishes his No. 1 overall pick.

He’s been tight-lip over who he will take, jokingly saying that he plans to take Jason Avant, but we all know/hope that can’t be true. Even though it would help us all, it would be a sad day in JFL history when the name of Jason Avant is called first overall. It’s bad enough that his name gets called period.

Of course, the Noise doesn’t need a quarterback anymore, but it’s too bad because there are some good ones out there. Eli Manning is clearly the best, when it comes to fantasy points. He put up a ton of points last season, finishing as the sixth-best QB in the JFL.

Peyton Manning also is out there on the open market — did we ever think we’d see the day when Peyton and Eli Manning were both available in a 12-team, 2-keeper league? Amazing.

With nine teams keeping QBs, it’s likely that we won’t see a big rush on QBs right away. Then again, with some interesting names out there — including some highly touted rookies — the teams needing a QB will be gambling if they pass up on one in the first couple rounds. Last year, backup QBs started going early as GMs’ eyes widened when they pictured the best QB duos in the JFL.

Nine teams kept running backs and a JFL-record six teams kept WRs.

Oddly enough, the WR names that are being kept are not the ones you think they’d be. Calvin Johnson is a definite keeper and Wes Welker is good enough, especially in a PPR league, to keep. But Julio Jones, Victor Cruz, Dez Bryant and Marques Colston also find themselves on rosters before the draft.

The latter, Colston, we all know is there just because he’s the best the Noise could throw out there.

But for the other three, we’re looking at owners taking gambles on the next wave of great receivers. Cruz has been outstanding and the Generals are banking on him turning the famous Year 3 performance that WRs are known to produce in their third years.

Dez Bryant also enters his third year and Team Boyer has his eyes set on a breakout season, too.

Jones is entering just his second season, but his potential is through the roof — or so the Jammers hopes.

So, with four of the six WR keepers not being who you would expect, that leaves a lot of big names out there, including Larry Fitzgerald, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, Mike Wallace, Andre Johnson, A.J. Green, Hakeem Nicks, Dwayne Bowe, Percy Harvin, DeSean Jackson and Steve Smith.

Larry Fitzgerald is probably the best out of all of those WRs, but he can’t show it because Arizona doesn’t have a QB that can get him the ball, so that automatically drops Fitzgerald out of the top tier. Andre Johnson could be considered the next best, but he can’t stay healthy. Mike Wallace is a home-run hitter, but he’s been holding out all camp and he’s a liability.

That makes the WR draft a little risky, similar to what we see with RBs each year.

It’s always dicey at running back. If you don’t own a top-tier guy, finding a good one in the first two rounds is tough. The names are there, but the production often isn’t. Last season, only Matt Forte, Steven Jackson and Ryan Mathews lived up to their first and second round picks, finishing in the top 15 in RB scoring.

Then-keepers Ray Rice, LeSean McCoy, Maurice Jones-Drew, Arian Foster, Michael Turner, Adrian Peterson and Chris Johnson all lived up to their keeper status, finishing in the top 15, but first rounders Rashard Mendenhall and Frank Gore and second rounders DeAngelo Williams, Ahmad Bradshaw, LeGarrette Blount, Jahvid Best, Peyton Hillis, BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Felix Jones all finished outside the top 15.

There were eight RBs taken in the second round and only Ryan Mathews lived up to his draft position.

Meanwhile, in later rounds, teams found gems in these top-15 RBs: Fred Jackson (4th), Reggie Bush (6th), Michael Bush (7th), Marshawn Lynch (7th) and Darren Sproles (10th).

Finding that late-round RB gem has been a key to becoming a Super Bowl contender. Last season, the Jammers had both Reggie Bush and Sproles, while Team Boyer had Lynch.

In 2010, the Channel 4 News Team won with Arian Foster, who he took in the third round with the 34th overall pick. Not counting keepers, he was 17th running back to be taken in the draft, and he finished No. 1 overall in points. The team the News Team beat in the Super Bowl, the Jammers, didn’t make any big moves in the draft, but after Week 1, he picked up Peyton Hillis and BenJarvus Green-Ellis, who both finished in the top 15 in RB points. Hillis was No. 3. They both could have been drafted late and it would have made the difference for several teams.

In 2009, the World of Noise for once lived up to his name, going to the Super Bowl thanks to his 13th-round pick, Ricky Williams, who finished ninth in RB points. Also worth noting that the Super Bowl Champion Toasters picked Chris Johnson and Ray Rice with his first- and second-round picks.

As you can see, it’s such a tough task to find a RB that will lead you to a championship. There are some big names out there in the 2012 draft, but one has to wonder what unknown name will step up and shock the fantasy world in 2012.

We know it’s going to happen. We just wish we knew who.

Good luck everyone.

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