JLB: National League Pre-Draft Capsules (3.18.15)





The National League continues to get stronger, especially on the pitching side. Eleven of the top 13 starters, according to MLB.com, are in the National League. The only two starters not on that list belong to the Gamblers, Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg.

The Arms Race continued this offseason as several top starters moved from the AL to NL and it should create a great competition, especially after the amazing record-breaking season we saw from Brian Walter's Outs. I will go as far to say that his single-season records may be untouchable.

And, whereas the World Series champion, Vandelay, will be my favorite at this point, it's hard to discount any of the six teams as playoff contenders. And with a Wild Card team from the National League winning three of the last four World Series, all you need to do is finish in the top three.

Easier said than done, I know.

Here are the National League Pre-Draft Capsules in order of overall finish last season.


Vandelay Industries
Franchise Record: 1,133-971-325 (.533), Sixth Season

It's the model franchise. That’s what Vandelay has become. When the minor league rules were put into play in the JLB, this is exactly what it was intended to do. In 2010, he drafted the prospects Buster Posey, Carlos Santana and Giancarlo Stanton. In 2012, he drafted the prospects Chris Sale and Gerritt Cole. Later in 2012, he added Matt Harvey via waivers and turned both Cole and Harvey into Cole Hamels last season. In 2013, he drafted Carlos Gomez and Jose Fernandez. Altogether, Vandelay has been able to find the perfect mix of young, upcoming stars to go with his everyday starters and many of them have turned into the stars we all wish our prospects would be. No lie, as I type this, Giancarlo just hit a home run in a spring training game, hammering home the point that a lot of us missed out in that 2010 draft. It took a few years for it all to come together, but once it did, Vandelay was unstoppable in the playoffs, cruising to wins of 14-7-3, 18-4-2 and 20-2-2. It was dominant. I mean, check out the pitching totals from his three-matchup run to a championship: 234 strikeouts, 26 quality starts, 3 complete games, 18-16, 11 saves, 2.83 ERA. The offense was just as good, pounding 32 homers and driving in 126 runs with an average just around .300. It was impressive.

And it’s why he’s the preseason favorite to win it all again.

BATS: There’s a hole at third base, which I’m sure Vandelay will address early in the draft, perhaps right away in that 12-13 back-to-back picks at the end of the first round, but that’s it. He has 20-homer potential from four players, and 40-homer potential from a fifth, Stanton, of course. RBIs, runs, stolen bases, this lineup has it all. If healthy, it will be hard to match the offensive output that Vandelay will produce. I mean, he had to drop Matt Kemp. That says it all.

ARMS: Health will be key, so that means no more jumping off trucks (ahem, I’m talking to you Chris Sale). Adam Wainwright is dealing with some health issues, and Jose Fernandez isn’t set to return until later in the season. But if he returns in the shape he left the sport, and all of the other guys are 100 percent, we’re looking at a pitching staff that could rival what the Outs did last season, especially since I think this is the year Kevin Gausman breaks out. He was strong during Vandelay’s playoff run, logging 26.1 innings with 24 strikeouts, two quality starts and a 2.74 ERA. Extrapolate those numbers over a full season and the rest of the JLB is in trouble; not to mention other up-and-comers like Daniel Norris, Jake Odorizzi and Mike Fiers. You see what I’m getting at here, Vandelay is stacked. If he drafts a starting pitcher in the first five rounds, I’ll be shocked.


Philly Cheese Steaks
Franchise Record: 253-185-66 (.567), Second Season

It was the run of a lifetime. From last to first, the Steaks took over the dismal Team Suck franchise and turned it into a pennant winner in just one season. The bye week was fun until he ran into the unstoppable Vandelay train that pummeled him in the NLCS. Still, from where the season started, it was a huge leap forward. Now, turn to the offseason of 2015 — a move to grab Max Scherzer strengthened a rotation that already boasted Jon Lester and Hyun-Jin Ryu; a move to get Masahiro Tanaka did the same, as did a move to get Andrew Cashner. But, at what cost? Only time will tell.

BATS: Whereas the Choo sold pitching to bolster offense, the Steaks did the exact opposite. Of his top 10 hitters from a year ago, only Jose Bautista, Hanley Ramirez and Victor Martinez return. (Note that Troy Tulowitzki didn’t finish in his top 10 hitting because of injuries.) Notables from that list who are gone are Justin Upton, Daniel Murphy, Pablo Sandoval and Alex Rios. It’s also worth noting that Jorge Soler, who in limited time batted .291 with four homers and 12 RBIs in 55 at-bats, was also traded away. Now, coming back is Dee Gordon, who provides big-time speed, and Todd Frazier, who adds power and run production. He also gains Prince Fielder simply by being patient with the big guy and his 2014 injury. Ramirez will slot into left once he qualifies, filling that hole, but center field and catcher are vacant heading into the draft. Needless to say, there are a few question marks here, but if there’s anyone who can answer them in the draft, it’s the Steaks, who had a great 2014 draft.

ARMS: The Steaks looked around at the landscape of the National League and knew Lester and Ryu weren’t enough, so welcome Scherzer, Cashner and Tanaka. It’s quite the rotation if all goes to plan. It’s even better if Carlos Martinez develops. I really don’t have to write much here. This rotation really speaks for itself.


You’re Freaking Out
Franchise Record: 969 -720-255 (.564), Fifth Season

Bowing out in the Wild Card round had to be a bit rough, especially considering how dominant his pitching staff was in 2014. The Outs set four single-season regular-season JLB records last year. He blew away the Gamblers’ 2012 mark of 1,687 strikeouts by notching 2,051 (it’s worth nothing that both the Gamblers and Vandelay beat that 2012 mark last year with 1,792 and 1,705 strikeouts, respectively). He also stormed past the Gamblers’ 2011 record total of 167 quality starts by posting 186. His 142 wins bested the prior record by 13 wins and his ERA of 3.05 was leaps and bounds ahead of the Bombers 3.25 ERA from 2013. Needless to say, looking at the JLB record book, 2014 was a dominant year for pitching all around, but the Outs benefited from it the most posting marks that may be really tough to beat. Still, despite all the records, he found himself finishing one measly game behind the Steaks for the pennant and lost in the Wild Card round to the locomotive bearing the Vandelay Industries emblem on the side.

BATS: The Outs have a few holes to fill on the offensive end, but his decision to mirror the model franchise has and will pay off for years to come. Kris Bryant is a star in waiting and Carlos Correa is the future at shortstop, but still a year away. Mookie Betts looks ready to play, too, but he may have to wait due to the crowded outfield in Boston. Add those young stars to Freddie Freeman, Adrian Beltre, Bryce Harper, Hunter Pence, Xander Bogaerts and Josh Donaldson, and I think you have a lineup that is primed to be a force in the National League. Especially when Bryant comes up. That will give him three of the top five third basemen (in my mind) in all of baseball. He’ll either go heavy at the hot corner at UTIL, or he’ll be able to deal one for another need.

ARMS: The Outs destroyed pitching records because of smart moves, not just last year, but in years leading up. His move to get Madison Bumgarner from the Gamblers for an excess outfielder was huge, and his decision to keep an unknown Corey Kluber as a minor league was even bigger. The World Series MVP and the American League Cy Young both joined Jordan Zimmermann, Garrett Richards, Zack Greinke and Yu Darvish for an insanely dominant year. He knew there was no way to have all of these guys return for 2015, so he flipped them for big-time pieces. Greinke went for Pence and Donaldson, while Darvish went for Gerritt Cole in a deal the Otto Parts is feeling all Handi Jerky about. Add in Michael Wacha, and that gives him six valuable starters heading into 2015. To me, this is the best staff heading into the draft. Vandelay has numbers, but the Outs have so much quality with room to draft more. I’m jealous and scared.


JimmyJam Slammers
Franchise Record: 1,725-1,414-557 (.542), Eighth Season

With records that would have placed me into the American League playoff field, I’ve found out the hard way how tough the National League can be. Vandelay was in this exact situation in 2011 and 2012. Right now, in the National League, fourth place is the toughest spot to land, and fourth will be the spot everyone looks to avoid again in 2015.

BATS: Last year, singles were the name of the game for my Slammers. Power was lacking and it cost me dearly in many categories. Thanks to guys in power positions, like Matt Adams at first, who hit .285 and hit a bunch of singles (Captain Singles, a nickname that many of you knew), I was able to set new JLB single-season records in hits with 1,559 and singles with 1,033. That didn’t help much elsewhere, though, which is why some power was added with Anthony Rizzo, Nelson Cruz and Wil Myers. Together, in the positions they will sit, they are projected to hit 51 more homers than the three guys who previously started in their positions. Add that to players like Jose Altuve, Andrew McCutchen, J.D. Martinez and Salvador Perez, and there’s some balance finally to the Slammers lineup.

ARMS: Everyone knows I love pitching, and I’ll admittedly say, I do not have the ace duos or trios that many of the National League boast. Nevertheless, David Price and Chris Tillman forge a strong duo (you’ve all read, or should have read, my piece on Tillman), and Nate Eovaldi could be a surprise in New York, but admittedly, he has some work to do. Meanwhile, Dallas Keuchel and Chris Archer both have front-line potential. Keuchel had a 2.93 ERA in 200 innings on a bad Astros team, and this year, he’ll be on a much improved Astros team. Archer had a 3.33 ERA, including a 2.77 mark over his final 24 starts. I expect great seasons from both, so it’s possible I can at least contend with the pitching from the Outs, Steaks, and Vandelay. I’ll just need a little luck to get that Kluber breakout from someone.


Steroid.ERA
Franchise Record: 393-447-144 (.473), Third Season

The year is finally here. When Steroid.ERA joined the JLB, he knew he had some work to do to build his franchise, and in his first season, he went 181-228-71 and finished last. In 2014, he added 31 wins, finishing 212-219-73, finishing just a few games out of fourth place. Now, he wants to take that next step, and like the Steaks, he identified what it takes in the National League, acquiring Johnny Cueto and Zack Greinke in offseason deals. Now, he just needs to see if it translates into another 20-plus wins and a playoff spot.

BATS: Steroid.ERA made some interesting offseason moves to build an almost intact lineup heading into the draft. All he’s missing is an every day shortstop, but something tells me he won’t wait too long to address that. Speed is the key for Steroid at this point. With Billy Hamilton, stolen bases should be his to win on most weeks, and if he’s slumping, Steroid has five other players with double-digit steal potential. That also means runs should be a good category for him. He only has three 20-home run guys, and that’s padding Alex Gordon’s 19 homers a year ago to make it three. He’ll need to address homers and RBIs in the draft.

ARMS: You can’t blame Steroid for going after front-line starters. Looking at the Outs and Vandelay, it’s a must. Then watching the Steaks bolster his staff, it became even more pertinent. That’s why he added Cueto and Greinke to go with King Felix. It’s a great trio to have, but I do worry about injuries with Cueto and Greinke. In Los Angeles, Greinke pitched 202 innings last year, and he should be fine, but he had a little bit of an elbow issue in camp, and that’s a bit scary. Nonetheless, I imagine he’ll be fine and he and King Felix will be a great 1-2 punch. Cueto is my biggest worry. He hasn’t put together back-to-back 30-start seasons since 2009-10, and after 217 innings in 2012, he had on 60.2 in 2013 before piling up an NL-most 243.2 regular-season innings last year. Sixty to 243 is a huge jump that scares me. If he can duplicate it again this year, by all means, call him an ace. But I think he needs to do that first before he qualifies in my book. The other problem with the Steroid pitching staff at this point is that it’s lacking depth. Alex Wood is a decent fourth guy, but Jon Gray is not ready to pitch in the Majors and he’s the fifth and final starter on this roster. Steroid will need a strong draft to compete with the four teams that finished above him in 2014.


Chief Otto Parts
Franchise Record: 893-778-273 (.530), Fifth Season

I’m sure David sat around a lot last summer just laughing. I mean, it’s really all you can do when you’re the hard-luck loser over and over and over. I won’t run through the stats, but go back and look at the recaps from 2014. Otto Parts just ran into the gauntlet schedule-wise. He’s hoping the magic hat filled with numbers treats him better in 2015, because really, how does a team with Miggy, Cano and Trout miss the playoffs?

BATS: Well, I just mentioned three of the big bats in the lineup, and Otto Parts did a great job at adding Jason Heyward, a guy I like to have a good season in St. Louis. He hopes to get Matt Wieters and Manny Machado back strong from injuries, as well as a resurgence from Elvis Andrus, who has struggled since making the All-Star team in 2012. Power and speed, Otto has it all. If he fails to make the playoffs, I doubt it will have to do with these guys.


ARMS: It may have to do with these guys. Last year, at the deadline, sitting in sixth place and clearly missing out, Otto made a really smart deal, sending Cole Hamels for Matt Harvey and Gerritt Cole. He made a bit of a mistake, sending Cole away for Darvish. Obviously, you can’t predict Tommy John, but nevertheless, the controllability of Cole (1.111 experience) was one of the reasons he traded Hamels to get him. It was surprising to see him dealt for Darvish, who made two trips to the DL in 2014. And, it cost him. Nevertheless, he bounced back to get Lance Lynn to add to the mix with Matt Harvey, Julio Teheran and Matt Cain. Certainly, there are question marks, but there’s also potential. James Paxton and Jameson Taillon also provide hope for down the line. I imagine he’ll address the starting pitching need right away with that No. 2 overall draft pick.

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